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Latin American Pulse for Friday, May 2, 2026

Petrobras Q1 Production Hits 3.23 Million Barrels Per Day — Búzios Sets Single-Day Record — Ecuador: Noboa Declares Curfew in Nine Provinces, 2,509 Homicides in Four Months, 100% Tariffs on Colombia Now Active — Lula Announces “Desenrola Brasil” Debt Relief Programme on National TV, Launches Monday — Brazil Fiscal Deficit Reaches R$199.6 Billion in March, […]

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Argentina Bonds Pressured as Milei’s Approval Slides to 35.5%

Key Points —President Javier Milei’s approval rating fell to 35.5% in April from 44% in January, while disapproval climbed from 51.6% to 63%, according to AtlasIntel polling for Bloomberg. —Argentine sovereign dollar bonds maturing October 2028 — twelve months after the next presidential election — yield 8.3%, a 360 basis-point premium over comparable bonds maturing […]

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Milei Faces Largest Union March of His Presidency on May Day

Key Points —Argentina CGT march filled Plaza de Mayo on May 1 with the labor confederation, social movements, and opposition parties demanding Milei reverse course on factory closures and wage erosion. —The rally opened with a tribute to Pope Francis, who died one year ago, with church representatives and video segments anchoring the religious framing. […]

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Uruguay Hits Temu and Shein With 22% Tax, Spares U.S. Sellers

Key Points —Uruguay Temu tax enters force May 1, applying 22% IVA to all foreign online purchases made under the franquicia regime — the duty-free import allowance. —Purchases from US-based sellers are explicitly exempted, leaving Chinese platforms Temu, Shein, AliExpress, and other non-US e-commerce as the primary targets. —The measure is part of Uruguay’s broader […]

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Vaca Muerta Can Supply Southern Cone Gas for 50 Years, Brazil Says

Key Points —A bilateral Brazil-Argentina report confirms Vaca Muerta gas can meet Southern Cone demand for over 50 years at competitive production costs. —Brazil’s Energy Ministry proposes a $1.6 billion, 593-km pipeline from Uruguayana to Porto Alegre to carry Argentine gas. —Argentine gas at $5-5.50/MMBTU competes against $16-17 in Brazilian industry, creating a massive price […]

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BP Signs Offshore Gas Deal With Venezuela in Post-Maduro Push

Key Points —The Venezuela BP gas deal covers the Cocuina-Manakin cross-border field with Trinidad and the offshore Loran gas field on the Deltana Platform. —BP will open a permanent office in Caracas. Shell has also expressed interest in the Loran project. —BP joins Eni and Repsol in signing exploration agreements with the Rodríguez government since […]

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Paraguay’s Peña to Visit Taiwan in May, Defying Chinese Pressure

Key Points —President Santiago Peña will visit Taiwan in May in his second trip as president, reinforcing Paraguay Taiwan diplomatic ties. —Paraguay is one of only 12 countries worldwide — and the only one in South America — that maintains formal diplomatic relations with Taipei. —The visit comes amid sustained Chinese pressure on Taiwan’s remaining […]

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Corruption Fears Drive Sheinbaum Approval to All-Time Low 

Key Points —Sheinbaum approval dropped to 51% in April, three points below March and at least 15 points below a year ago, per Bloomberg-AtlasIntel. —Corruption (59%), crime (39%), and inflation (31%) are voters’ top three concerns. Nearly half rate the economy as bad. —The drop coincides with a GDP contraction, the Rocha narco indictment, and […]

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Argentina Resumes Fuel Tax Increases After April War Freeze

Key Points —Decree 302/2026 applies a partial 0.5% Argentina fuel tax increase from May 1, while deferring the full backlog of 2024-2025 adjustments to June. —The government froze fuel taxes entirely in April after Brent surged past $120 due to the Hormuz crisis, causing a 23% pump price spike in March. —Repeated deferrals since 2024 […]

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